Paperback: 176 pages
Publisher: No Starch Press; 1 edition (March 16, 2015)
Language: English
ISBN-10: 1593276206
ISBN-13: 978-1593276201
Product Dimensions: 5.9 x 0.5 x 8.1 inches
Shipping Weight: 10.4 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)
Average Customer Review: 4.4 out of 5 stars See all reviews (73 customer reviews)
Best Sellers Rank: #31,696 in Books (See Top 100 in Books) #22 in Books > Science & Math > Experiments, Instruments & Measurement > Methodology & Statistics #39 in Books > Business & Money > Education & Reference > Statistics #70 in Books > Science & Math > Mathematics > Applied > Statistics
Let me front-load the criticism. I wish an experienced statistics instructor had reviewed the manuscript. The book does better in its second half, where it discusses what I would call problems with empirical-research culture, than in its first half, which has more textbook statistics. The author neglects to explain the basics - things like "sample", "statistic", "sampling distribution", "conditional probability" - and often confuses matters by bringing in issue Y when setting out to discuss issue X. (Appropriately, a section named "Confounding Confounders" is itself confounded: we start talking about "coarsening" data (not what I expected based on the title, by the way; a Y-for-X switch already took place), then get into something else. I will single out the introduction to the "base-rate fallacy" as another weak spot). A choice to be non-technical means that solutions to some problems cannot be effectively presented - although sometimes they are suggested after all. The "woefully complete" part of the title is, I take it, tongue-in-cheek, so no quibbles there.A few "similar" books come to mind, including (a) the drier "Common errors in statistics" by Phillip Good, (b) the three terrific popular books by Ben Goldacre - "Bad science", "Bad pharma" and "I think you'll find it's a bit more complicated than that" - and (c) the elegant "Understanding the new statistics" by Geoff Cumming. (I have not seen "How to lie with statistics" by Huff and Geis). Reinhart's book is more "big-picture" than Good's, and broader than Goldacre's or Cumming's.
The author was an Undergraduate Physics major at the University of Texas, and subsequently became a Statistics Ph.D. student and Instructor at CMU after being surprised by the lack of Statistics knowledge and use of best practices by working scientists. I am a Computer Engineer and MBA with one basic course in Statistics acquired during my stay at the Wharton School 30 some years ago, and seeking a greater knowledge of Statistical Principles for work in Human Computer Interaction and Data Science in my present endeavors. I like the author am distressed by the lack of guidance received by professionals and working scientists in properly applying statistical methods to deciding the conclusions to be drawn from a research investigation. Mr. Reinhart properly points out that most individuals who have been exposed to statistics at all lack a fundamental understanding of such basic concepts as the P-Value--("the probability, under the assumption that there is ...no true difference, of collecting data that shows a difference equal to" or greater than that which you actually observed). The author emphasizes the importance of Statistical Power, the probability that a study "will distinguish an effect of a certain size from pure luck".Many Statistical and Logical Reasoning problems are shown by the author and papers he cites to exist in the work of Scientists, Medical Professionals and Psychologists. He presents an excellent set of recommendations of educational systems and for best practices in research in the last chapter entitled: "What Can Be Done". I highly recommend this humorous and thoroughly researched guide to anyone who must evaluate Business, Scientific or Professional Conclusions based upon Statistics.
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